predict the conditions of the future and how your world view will handle those
match up means success
example:
you are an egalitarian and think everyone should cooperate
turns out everyone is an egalitarian and your society functions very well
predict the conditions of the future and how your world view will handle those
don't match leads to failure
example:
you are an egalitarian and think everyone should cooperate
turns out that there are unruly people and minor sociopaths throughout your society that really need rules to keep them in check
your society has trouble
Game Theory - decision square
example:
Turns out, no global warming Global warming hits hard You - spend money to prepare for global warming You "wasted" your money You suffered only minor damage You - spend the money on more highways You didn't waste your money and now you have cool highways Your life is wrecked and you need all the highways in NY are under water
Dependence on critical assumptions
example: