ESR 101 - Lecture 17

http://web.pdx.edu/~rueterj/courses/esr101-200904/lecture17.html

Lecture 17 - December 3, 2009	Essential	Background
Outline managing forests for integrity case studies of REDD fisheries as an example of a CPR Vocabulary (see this page) Using viewers and Multiple Perspectives network systems games Life lessons that our grandmas taught us: Get a Kleenex and blow your nose!
Managing for forest ecological integrity composition structure function as compared to its natural or historical range of variation large forests and parks compared to smaller historical parks report the results green, yellow, red - stoplight metaphor in the context of global climate change rapid change of climate doesn't allow time for the forests to adapt to new composition climate models predict NH will have the climate of either Virginia or N. Carolina under low and high CO2 emission scenarios (TNC - Winter 2009)	network view	Tierny et al 2009
Several Case Studies of REDD carbon emissions from deforestation accounts for 17 to 18% of global carbon emissions that's more than all vehicles (13%) planting new trees counts but not cutting down forests doesn't count - until REDD some countries have already preserved their forests (how can that count) country (or larger) level of accounting is needed to avoid leakage in Brazil, 90% of deforestation is illegal - how can that be controlled? land tenure - ownership by local people is a real problem Economist - although REDD has risks there are more risks with continued deforestation (reverse statement of the precautionary principle - i.e. we know what we are doing is bad, try something else) Bolivia N. California Indonesia Some interesting facts: young redwood forests in California that are growing can take up about 3 tons CO2 per year per acre can hold 500 tons per acre total a car produces about 5 tons per year Pacific Corp has agreed to pay about $10/ton		case studies: The Nature Conservancy Bolivia: Washington Post carbon payments
Open ocean fisheries as a CPR population estimates are determined from fishing effort and success predator-prey model can't just count the fish in the ocean definition of CPR - system view of the fisheries growth, harvest relationship concept of the maximum sustainable yield Allee effect (minimum viable population size) reason for harvesting protein source - malnutrition (compared to undernutrition) mechanisms for ocean fish harvest more machinery and fossil fuels lower catch rate (see graph) depletion of stocks damage to the health of the stock fishing down marine food webs potential solutions institutions - as suggested from CPR set up iterative games beneficial to cooperate take some portion of the range and exclude fishing marine fishing reserves	game viewer wiki -economics	mvps eoe-marine reserves
Revisit the idea about using multiple views Multiple view framework pluralism	viewers - multiple perspectives framework
Preview of ESR 102 - Human impact Topics Impact of humans population poverty, health and the environment energy resources, technology and impact water resources, technology and impact land resources, technology and impact integrated responses to global climate change, food shortages, water depletion Structured views review systems & games values and choice risk and uncertainty environmental accounting Field/Lab energy efficiency measurements and side effects water resource technologies group project: design criteria for a self-sufficient energy and water home or community