objects/theory-of-change.html

Theory of Change through the accumulation of many small improvements

December 31, 2010

 

Human interaction and impact on the environment has many dimensions

  • population
  • resource consumption
  • waste production and pollution
  • employment of appropriate technologies
  • social aspects of resource, population and technology

 

Impact may depend on the state of human/natural environment

3 states related to overall health

1. weak or sick states - small stress may continue a downward spiral

  • positive feedback (vicious cycle) that destroys integrity of the human-environment system
  • may need "surgery", major intervention

 

2. several types of stable state

    stable
    metastable
    edge of threshold
  • may use treatment or therapy to maintain these states or improve slightly

 

3. improving, positive developing system

    • positive contribution to one component may lead to general improvements
    • state is resilient to some impacts
    • some stresses may actually increase the overall health (like physical training)
      • like how intermediate disturbances in forests help increase diversity and protect against catastrophic fires

     

Sick systems need remediation

  • just as sick humans might have to have special intense care to recover
    • such as major surgery
  • the methods that you use to cure a sick system aren't necessarily the same as to improve and develop the condition of the human-environment state

 

Engagement in messy and authentic problems can "save the world"

  • protecting healthy systems from being degraded
  • contribute to pushing developing systems toward even healthier states
  • many small forces self-organize to create an improved human-environment state

 

 

Expanded outline:

 

References: