objects/4-scenarios-MEA.html

4 scenarios from the Millenium Ecosystem Assessment

(Raskin ****, Speth 2008 pg 43)

scenario key features
Global orchestration
"policy reform"

policy reforms
reshape economies and governance
growing economies
coordinated management of resources

 

Order from Strength
"fortress"

regional and fragmented world
security and protection
nations protect their own interests
treaties are weak
ecosystem services are very vulnerable


Adapting mosaic
"new sustainability"

regional and watershed scale
local ecosystem management strategies
heavy reliance on ecosystem services
managed for resilience
great diversity in approaches
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TechnoGarden
"market"

globally connected world
relying on technology and highly managed (i.e.. controlled) ecosystemss/farms
ecological engineering approaches
environmental entrepreneurship to help technologies and property rights co-evolve